Unaffordable house prices in Europe put lives on hold
2 September 2016
Confidence in the European housing market has hit a plateau, though vast shifts in outlook can be seen across Europe. Unaffordable housing is causing people to put their lives on hold – forcing many to make sacrifices such as living with parents or delaying having more children.
The fifth annual ING International Survey – Homes and Mortgages 2016, which surveyed almost 15,000 people in 15 countries about their attitudes on the housing market, found that just over half (56%) of people in Europe expect house prices to rise over the next 12 months. The number who think that house prices will rise remains unchanged since last year, indicating there could be a levelling of confidence.
Dramatic shift in UK
The most dramatic shift has been in the UK, where expectations of rising house prices plummeted by 13 percentage points, prior to the EU referendum.
Following the Brexit vote, the question was repeated. Post referendum, the share in the UK who expect house prices to fall grew 16 percentage points – from six per cent to 22 per cent. Less than half (46%) of people in the UK now believe house prices will rise in the next year – the lowest proportion since the first survey was conducted in 2012.
Falling interest rates are one factor that can typically influence house prices. Across Europe, Luxembourg (28%) and the UK (26%) have the largest share of people who report that low interest rates have pushed up house prices where they live. However, in all but two of the countries included in the study, when asked how the fall in rates has affected house prices where they live, respondents most commonly (39%) say they ‘do not know’, indicating that few actually understand the effect on house prices.
Unaffordable housing is having an impact across Europe. Three fifths (60%) of people find that house prices where they live are expensive and a third (33%) are putting their lives on hold as a result. Those affected admit to putting the brakes on their futures, with nearly one in three (29%) being forced to live with others, almost a quarter (22%) saying they feel trapped in their current jobs and almost one in five (16%) delaying having children.
High house prices are resulting in one in four (24%) people finding it difficult to pay their mortgage each month, reaching highs for instance in Poland (41%) and Romania (40%).
This is increasingly leading [people in Europe] to delay important life decisions, such as postponing retirement, changing jobs or having more children.
- Ian Bright, senior economist at ING
Settling for a smaller home
As a coping mechanism, nearly half (46%) are compromising on their housing choices whether they rent or own their home. Of those who have compromised and are unhappy with their situation 39% moved to areas they do not like as much and 39% settled for a smaller home. Worryingly, 37% of those who are unhappy with their housing today say they opted for houses in poor condition.
Despite these challenges, nearly half (46%) want to buy a house in the near future and are willing to make the necessary sacrifices in order to call their place their own. Two fifths (41%) of people in Europe admit to curtailing spending a lot in order to buy, although this proportion rises to a survey high of 60% in Turkey.
Bank of Mum and Dad
The difficulties facing buyers have also led to a reliance on the ‘Bank of Mum and Dad’, with nearly half (47%) of people saying parents should support their children financially to get on the housing ladder. The reality however is somewhat different, with very few buyers currently saving for a home actually receiving help from friends or family (9%).
Ian Bright, senior economist at ING, said across Europe, expectations that house prices will rise has hit a plateau, but people are still finding that the house prices where they live are expensive.
“It’s worrying that this is increasingly leading them to delay important life decisions, such as postponing retirement, changing jobs or having more children,” he said.
“Even more concerning is the realisation that most do not expect this situation to change because most people expect house prices to keep rising. This is a Europe-wide problem and not restricted to one or two countries, with few seeing any light at the end of the tunnel.”